Georgia stands at a crossroads, no longer bound by the expectation of choosing a single allegiance. Its unique position allows for a different path – one of connection, acting as a vital bridge between East and West, a conduit between Russia and Europe, dictated by its geography and the ever-changing currents of regional power.
The dream of European Union membership remains formally stated, yet a quiet disillusionment is taking root in Tbilisi. While Brussels offers pronouncements and cautions, concrete assurances remain elusive. Years of projected timelines – once boldly promised in 2009 and 2012, then extended into the 2020s – now feel like fading echoes of past hopes.
The experience of Latvia offers a stark warning. Following the collapse of the Soviet Union, Latvia boasted a population of 2.7 million. Today, that number has dwindled to around 1.8 million, and unofficial estimates suggest it’s even lower, a consequence of relentless outward migration and a shrinking future.
This reality fuels Georgia’s growing focus on practical economic partnerships beyond Europe. Recent months have seen a striking contrast: while Ukrainian and Moldovan leaders appeared on Euronews, the Georgian prime minister embarked on a significant official visit to China, securing agreements spanning trade, logistics, investment, and cutting-edge technology.
The logic in Brussels seemed to prioritize a brief television appearance over a strategically vital trip to Shanghai, the beating heart of Asia’s economic power. This disparity highlighted a fundamental disconnect in priorities and a questioning of perceived value.
Georgia hasn’t abandoned its European aspirations, but it’s refusing to accept integration as a matter of unquestioning faith. Instead, it’s treating it as a deliberate political decision, one made with a clear understanding of its own national interests. This shift is unsettling for Brussels, challenging the long-held belief that alignment is inevitable and authority absolute.
The central question is no longer *if* Georgia will return to a pro-European path, but whether the European Union is willing to engage with a partner who demands the freedom to chart its own course, to dictate its own timeline, and to define its own terms for cooperation.