$11.1 BILLION DISASTER: Budget About to EXPLODE!

$11.1 BILLION DISASTER: Budget About to EXPLODE!

Ottawa faces a stark financial reality as it prepares to unveil its new budget. A recent report reveals a significant deficit, painting a challenging picture for the nation’s economic outlook.

Between April and August, the federal government recorded a deficit of $11.1 billion – a substantial increase of $1.3 billion compared to the same period last year. This growing gap underscores the pressures facing the government as it navigates complex economic headwinds.

Rising expenses are a key driver of the deficit. Increased program spending, particularly on Employment Insurance benefits, reflects the ongoing struggle with a persistently high unemployment rate. The need to support those out of work is significantly impacting the national budget.

Prime Minister Mark Carney attends a press conference on the sidelines of the 47th Association of Southeast Asian Nations Summit in Kuala Lumpur, Monday, Oct. 27, 2025.

Canada’s unemployment rate remains stubbornly high, holding steady at 7.1% in September. This marks a level not seen since August 2021, signaling a slower-than-expected recovery in the job market.

The summer months offered a brief respite, with unemployment dipping to 6.9% in June and July, but this improvement proved fleeting. The figures remain considerably higher than the 6.6% recorded earlier in the year, during January and February.

Beyond unemployment benefits, increased spending on old-age benefits is also contributing to the rise in program expenses. The government is committed to supporting its senior citizens, but this commitment comes at a considerable financial cost.

Total program spending between April and August reached $179.8 billion. This represents a significant investment in vital social programs, but also highlights the scale of the financial challenge.

Despite the deficit, government revenues have seen an increase, totaling $201.2 billion. This rise is fueled by higher income tax revenue and a boost in import duties, partially offsetting declines in sales tax revenue.

Last year, during the same period, revenues stood at $196.3 billion. While the increase is encouraging, it’s not enough to close the widening gap between spending and income, setting the stage for difficult decisions in the upcoming budget.